Saturday, March 12, 2016

Blog #12: TWO REFLECTIONS ON THE 2016 RACE

Who Speaks for the Powerless?

            Most political buffs have concluded that the best predictor of a Trump supporter would be a middle aged white man who hasn’t graduated from college.  But the Rand Corporation has found an even more precise way to predict a Trump supporter – voters who agree with the statement, “People like me don’t have any say about what the government does,” are most likely to be Trump supporters.  Feelings of being powerless and without a voice are “much better predictors of Trump support than age, race, college attainment, income, attitudes toward Muslims, illegal immigrants, or Hispanic identity.” 
            Rand’s conclusions turn Democrats' self-image on its head.  Democrats have traditionally aspired to give voice to the voiceless and power to the powerless.  That formula worked fine for decades when the powerless were poor, black or Hispanic.  But where is the Democratic Party when those who feel they have no political voice are middle aged white men?  Where is the Democratic program for a generation of formerly privileged white men who no longer feel privileged?  Who speaks for them?  Trump. 

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Recapturing  Innocence

             There was, to me, a defining moment in the Michigan debate between Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton.  Hillary blasted Bernie in Michigan for voting against saving the auto industry.  Bernie came back with his usual rant about Hillary voting to bail out Wall Street.  At the time, it seemed like a lame attempt by Bernie to divert our attention away from a major mistake.
            After two days of cable commentary, I finally got the story straight.  Bernie (and Hillary) had, in fact, voted for a pure stand-alone bill which funded the auto industry bailout.  But when that failed, the Senate was presented with an up or down vote on a bill which combined about $380 billion to stabilize Wall Street (the TARP bailout) with about $80 billion to support restructuring the auto industry.  Sanders voted no, and Clinton voted yes.  The combined bill passed and between two and four million jobs were saved. 
            This vote is a metaphor for the mind of each of the candidates.  Bernie remained pure.  He represents the innocence of first love; Hillary stands for married love.  When faced by the choice of all or nothing, Hillary chose something.  Call it opportunism, or call it taking opportunity when it knocks, but it certainly explains why in the 25 years in the House and Senate only three bills have Bernie’s name on them and two are renaming Post Offices.  

3 comments:

  1. Hillary was the prime sponsor of only 3 bills, all (re)naming things.

    Sanders was called the amendment King, Sanders passes the most comprehensive veterans health bill, Sanders helped write the ACA.

    You've fallen in love and refuse to consider the (better) alternative, who is more likely to beat Trump in the general. Sanders.

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  2. A great article highlighting this from the Atlantic:

    http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/07/bernie-sanders-is-a-loud-stubborn-socialist-republicans-like-him-anyway/450597/

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  3. I'm a fan or the Sunday morning show by Fareed Zakaria (GPS) which takes a more world view of America and it's politics. Today, he brought in a panel of "experts" who covered the who supports Trump issue and research is showing that many of the supporters are college educated middle class. The theory that they are all redneck ignorant dummies does not hold up when examining the demographic.
    In a second segment another researcher (John Weiller) in his latest book (researched) found that Trump supporters and many other Republicans support an authoritarian leader, hence the acceptance of Trump's statements saying he is going to do this and that without any consideration whether it's legal or whether it could even get Senate approval. He asked Trump supporters about parenting practice and beliefs. Overwhelmingly they support parental behaviors of control and children's behaviors of respect and submission to a higher power. I was raised in a lasiez faire home with few rules, but many of my friends were in the opposite. Is that why they are Republicans and I'm a Democrat? I think the picture is bigger than just that, but it's an interesting take.

    As far as Hillary and Bernie sponsoring successful legislation, that same could be said about many of our Dem colleagues in the ND Legislature. In a minority situation, as we are, it's hard to make major changes but making incremental changes are always an option and probably where we have the greatest impact.

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